Own Adobe Stock? You Are Making a Ton of Money Today

Sorry I’m late to this, I wanted to write about it yesterday when it happened, but didn’t get a chance to. JD had some coverage, but I wanted to talk a bit about the numbers from Adobe. If you don’t know what I’m talking about, Adobe blew past analysts estimates for earnings (and even profits) for the third quarter and now the stock is up almost 12% today. So lets dig into the numbers.

Adobe had revenue of $602.2 million, which was at the very high end of what Adobe and analysts had estimated. So here’s how it breaks down.

  • Creative Solutions – $328.1 million (54.5%)
  • Knowledge Worker Solutions – $154.1 million (25.5%)
  • Enterprise and Developer Solutions – $49.4 million (up from 42.8) (8%)
  • Mobile and Device Solutions – $9.1 million (1.5%)
  • Other – $61.5 (10.2%)

This is what always gets me. Obviously I am a big fan of Adobe, but I deal primarily with the Enterprise and Developer solutions, so these calls are always a wakeup call for me. Why? Because they only account for 8% of revenue in the company. Adobe is still a company that revolves around their tools. Studio and Creative Suite account for a whopping 54.5% of the revenue, so no one is betting the farm on Flex 2 over at Adobe, the big money remains rooted in the tools.

Now does this mean that Flex 2 isn’t important within the company or that enterprise is being ignored? Absolutely not, and revenue from that segment grew at a nice pace from last quarter. But it is still a very small slice of the pie, and the core of the company is still based around the tools and their strategy continues to revolve around that revenue stream.

A couple of interesting tidbits, they finally used Breeze for this conference call. I also noticed that they gave investors and analysts an invitation to attend MAX for one day. I wonder which day and who takes them up on that.

[tags]Adobe, ADBE, Wall Street[/tags]

Mike Arrington Plugs Apollo

I’ve heard rumblings that Michael Arrington is a big fan of Apollo, but Hans pointed me to an article today by Dan Farber, one of my fellow ZDNet bloggers which summarized some of Mike’s thoughts on the winners and losers in the web world. The final quote of the paragraph is where it gets good:

Mike also talked up Adobe’s Apollo platform, claiming that new classes of companies will be launched on this new platform, which will let applications written for Adobe’s Flash presentation software run without a Web browser. Apollo is due out next year as a free download.

When Michael Arrington speaks, companies listen, and as we get closer to an Apollo launch, I’m sure the talk will get louder. This is a great thing for both Apollo and Flex. In fact, it’s a good thing for anyone involved with Rich Internet Applications.

Update: I just found some audio of Mike talking about Apollo. It’s the fourth clip on this page.

[tags]Adobe, Apollo, Mike Arrington, TechCrunch, Web 2.0[/tags]

The Seattle Green Living Expo

The Seattle Green Living Expo I realize that a majority of my readers are outside of the Seattle area, but for the few that are, I wanted to post about this. My beautiful wife is in charge of putting on The Seattle Green Living Expo at High Point. If you are thinking of buying a house, or just interested in what is new in “green” (environmentally friendly) building, it will be a great conference for you. There are a number of architects, builders, city planners and building suppliers showing off, so it is a great place to find ideas and inspiration.

More information is available on the website, and if you’d like to volunteer, they would love to have you.

[tags]Seattle, Green Living Expo, High Point, Green Building[/tags]

What is MAXUP and Why Should I Care?

More information is starting to trickle down about MAXUP so I wanted to throw in my two cents and clarify a couple of things. Ted first talked about MAXUP on his blog. I just saw that Mike Potter had put up a MAXUP section over at the BarCamp page. One few key points for those who aren’t familiar with the BarCamp style:

  • Everyone participates – This isn’t a bunch of people sitting in a room listening to a speaker. This is a mix of presentations, conversations and demos where everyone is a presenter. If you have ideas, come to MAXUP, if you have experience, come to MAXUP, if you enjoy talking about technology, COME TO MAXUP.

This is going to be a chance for you to mingle with the teams at Adobe, see what your fellow developers are doing, and meet people who share your passion. That’s really what MAX is all about, and this is like MAX concentrate. You’ll be packing a ton of fun, inspiration, and networking into a single day.

Also, MAXUp is running throughout the conference – 24th, 25th, 26th. I had this wrong before. It won’t be on the 23rd, it will go the entire conference so you can pop in and out between sessions or afterwards.
This is going to be a ton of fun, and I think everyone is excited about it. This is also your chance to shine at MAX. Get people excited about your ideas, get a chance to show off your demo, and build buzz about what you are doing. There are a ton of great ideas out there, and unfortunately most of them won’t end up on center stage at the keynote. With MAXUP, we can remedy that. Hope to see you there!

How in the Heck Did I Miss This? Flash Player 9 Penetration Statistics

In doing the links for The Universal Desktop Daily, I came accross this little nugget of information from the Flashfoward keynote – Flash Player 9 has 50% penetration in 3 months. That is a clip faster than Flash Player 8, and a very significant percentage.

I don’t have the details, and the statistics page hasn’t been updated yet, so if anyone has more information, drop some comments. I think MySpace had a big impact on this, which I predicted back when they started requiring Flash Player 9. The ease of updating couldn’t have hurt either. I think the number is great news for Flex 2 developers. It shows people are willing to upgrade and that it is easy for them to do so. Just a crazy number.

Update: More info on the penetration from the comments below. Christoph noted that after looking at other recaps, he thought this was more of an estimate than actual statistic He changed his post to reflect this (see update 3). Then John Dowdell added the following:

The daily successful installations are tracked, via Player pinging an Adobe.com server upon first use. This is an incomplete measure of audience viewability because it tracks only volume of new Players, and ignores people with multiple browsers, multiple machines, updating an old installation, etc. Bottom line is that we can compare relative demand across versions, by comparing the change in successful daily installations.

Even based on those kinds of estimations, it is impressive. Hopefully we will get some quantifiable statistics soon.

[tags]Flash Player, Flash Platform[/tags]

The Best Apollo Information Out There

It sounds like Adobe is letting the floodgates open with new information at Flash Forward this year. There are just so many cool things going on that it must be non stop news down there in Austin. Just to give you an example, I’ve got a copy of IMs that I woke up to this morning:

7:13 AM – kevin is doing a demo of FP 9 on linux

7:25 AM – and now a demo of flex builder for OSX

7:46 AM – just saw a demo of apollo for OSX yay

Words cannot express my jealousy.

But to top it all off, Aral Balkan has what is without a doubt the best information on Apollo to date. There is a ton of great information there (mixed in with some Marketing) including some of the APIs that Apollo will have, some specifics on the Apollo’s integration with the deskop and some information about building Apollo applications in Flex. Exciting stuff. 

[tags]Flash Forward, Flash Platform, Adobe, Apollo, Flex[/tags]

Flex 2 Total Training is a Great Way to Learn Flex

This is partly due to Zee posting his thoughts on Total Training for Flex 2, but I was given an early copy of the DVD to check out and I’ve been watching bits of it the past couple of weeks. From what I’ve seen, this is the best training video out there. I really enjoyed the Flex 2 training from Lydia, but I felt that this one was more in depth and gave a more complete view of Flex.

The addition of James Talbot made a lot of difference. He presents the material very clearly and in a way that makes it fun to watch. After 8 hours, he still isn’t getting on your nerves ;) .

The main reason I liked Total Training so much is because it not only gives a very solid understanding of Flex 2, but expands on it to provide a lot in the way of real world application. This manages to straddle the gray area of newbie training video and veteran refresher quite well. I am by no means a Flex guru, but I have been around the product a lot, and even I picked up a couple of things from the videos. It really is the complete solution, and as with the other training videos, it is neatly broken up so that you can jump in at any point to pick up exactly what you need. The sections are, for the most part, easily consumable 5-6 minute bits which makes it a valuable reference tool.

If you are building Rich Internet Applications with Flex 2, I strongly suggest you pick this up. The $149.99 price tag will pay for itself over and over again as you build better Flex 2 applications. Nearly everyone in the Flex 2 community seems to echo the sentiment that this is a quality product. Hats off to the Total Training folks.

[tags]Flex. Total Training, Rich Internet Applications, Training[/tags]

Need Comedy? How about a bunch of old people weighing in on Facebook

Okay, I’ve had enough. I stood silently while people all over the blogosphere talked about how minifeeds were great because it showed Facebook was eschewing the “page view model” and presenting information in a brand new way. I wrote it off as typical tech blather as my peers on facebook quickly revolted and joined groups proclaiming how horrible the new Facebook was (I know because it showed up on my minifeed). Some people scoffed at these “kids” who were using the very medium they were so horrified of to protest it. Imagine that. It’s almost like if you want something to change in a democracy, you need to vote! But Facebook isn’t a democracy, and the latest salvo by Zuckerberg and co makes that abundantly clear.

I’ve been using Facebook pretty much since it started. I remember when it was REALLY exclusive, as in just for the Ivy Leaguers. Penn was one of the first to get access to this new fangled facebook (we ARE the social Ivy after all). Then, slowly, more schools were added to the mix. Since then, it has become a college phenomenon, and all of the pundits are correct when they say that Facebook users adjusted to the lessened exclusivity of the product (including the addition of High Schools). But we all had something in common, we were college students. Even when it was opened up to “professional networks” only a trickle of “adults” joined. Mostly it was a way for people already on Facebook to connect with people whom they were now working with.

But now the gloves are off and Zuckerberg has shown that he is no longer on the same wavelength as the college students whose rank he belonged to not so long ago. He is opening up Facebook to everyone. Of course, all many of the tech pundits think this is a great good idea, and they are applauding Zuckerberg for enhancing the business model and taking on MySpace. However none of these people actually use Facebook (Update: In fairness, John Botter, linked as ‘tech’ above, does have an account). If they have an account, it is only so that they can demo the service. They haven’t added friends, they haven’t created photo albums, they haven’t emotionally invested themselves in the service.

Last week’s debacle shows that Facebook users are very, very invested in the service. Zuckerberg’s open letter shows exactly how much of an impact they had. What the bloggers were heralding as innovation ended up leaving Facebook with egg on its face. Opening it up will do the exact same thing. So as you’re reading all of these posts about how this move is so good for Facebook, remember that we young people are a fickle bunch, and we like being exclusive. This is a terrible move Mark and your users are going to hate it. I know I do.

Update: Liz Gannes, who I enjoy reading when it comes to Facebook because she’s even younger than I am, posted about the news. Unfortunately it is more of a factual post than an opinion piece.
[tags]facebook, blogging[/tags]

Apollo at the SAP Community Conference?

Scoble is attending the SAP community conference in Las Vegas. Scoble quotes Mark Yolton, vice president of SAP’s dev network, that SAP is becoming a platform model which enables developers to build applications on top of a SAP infrastructure.

One of the interesting things I know SAP is doing, but I don’t have much information on, is project Muse. Project Muse is a frontend that SAP is working on which uses Flash, Flex and Apollo. It looks like it could be a great showcase application, and one developers can jump into.

Anyone at the conference know if they are talking about Apollo/Muse?

[tags]Adobe, SAP, Apollo, Muse, Flash, Flex[/tags]

Video to Your Mobile Phone with Flash

I just caught this press release from On2, the people who created the codec for Flash video in version 8. It looks like they are planning on showing off their new codec, Flix Live 8, at the Fall VON 2006 conference in Boston.

There isn’t a lot of news here, but being able to deliver high quality video content to phones with Flash is something that will be a major advantage for the Flash Platform, and it’s something to keep an eye on. If anyone is planning to go, drop me a line. Could this portend some Flash 8 features in the next version of FlashLite?

Update: There are some great comments below, from people who know way more about this than I do. Thanks guys for shedding some light and adding to the info.